Thunderstrike Horde

Median 3-day move

Observed short-term repricing across the latest item feature set.

Median price volatility

Higher values mean less certainty and more need to check repeat snapshots.

Confidence posture

Conclusions distinguish observed data, inference, speculation, and scored prior outcomes.

Yesterday

Not enough data for this section yet.

Last 7 Days

Not enough data for this section yet.

Hidden Opportunities

• Akkarai's TalonsStrong Buy | profit 10g 0s | confidence Low 45%
• Karrog's SpineStrong Buy | profit 6g 74s | confidence Low 44%
• SpellclothStrong Buy | profit 6g 13s | confidence Low 30%
• Tourmaline LoopStrong Buy | profit 6g 7s | confidence Medium 51%
• Sovereign NightseyeStrong Buy | profit 3g 40s | confidence Low 23%
• Amber BandStrong Buy | profit 3g 36s | confidence Low 39%
• Tome of Conjure WaterStrong Buy | profit 3g 26s | confidence Low 25%
• Great Golden DraeniteStrong Buy | profit 2g 84s | confidence Low 48%

Supply Shifts

Not enough data for this section yet.

Unusual Activity

• Light Shotprice 3g 55s | move +91066.7% | sold/day 26.4
• Giant Clam Meatprice 99s 94c | move +11256.8% | sold/day 17.3
• Rockshard Pelletsprice 45s 0c | move +4587.5% | sold/day 267.4
• Cracked Vialprice 29s 90c | move +1990.9% | sold/day 51.9
• Scroll of Stamina IIIprice 1g 98s | move +1917.5% | sold/day 15.5
• Tigerseyeprice 18s 88c | move +1807.1% | sold/day 278.3
• Bristle Whisker Catfishprice 1s 63c | move +1711.1% | sold/day 103.9
• Small Spider Legprice 17c | move +1600.0% | sold/day 59.7

Shortage Watch

• Explosive Rocketsupply 0 | sold/day 56.9 | change -
• Goretusk Liversupply 0 | sold/day 53.9 | change -
• Crag Boar Ribsupply 0 | sold/day 48.0 | change -
• Clefthoof Ribssupply 0 | sold/day 32.9 | change -
• Big Bronze Bombsupply 0 | sold/day 27.2 | change -
• Filet of Redgillsupply 0 | sold/day 21.0 | change -
• Goretusk Snoutsupply 0 | sold/day 19.3 | change -
• Enriched Manna Biscuitsupply 0 | sold/day 19.2 | change -

What The AI Learned

• This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.
• The feedback loop has evaluated 26 previous market calls for this realm/faction; observed hit rate is 42%.
• Large short-term movers are being treated as investigation targets first, not automatic buys, because Phase 2 launch activity can include both real demand and stockpiler unloading.
• Opportunity scoring is most reliable when high profit is supported by sold/day and enough auctions to avoid one-listing bait.
• High-value, high-volume staple markets are tracked even when they are not discounted, because steady sold/day can matter as much as a one-off bargain.
• The model lowers confidence where stack-level behavior, cancellations, relists, or unknown external events could explain the observed move.

Prediction Feedback

26 previous calls scored. Overall observed hit rate: 42%.

• Anomaly9 scored | hit rate 33%
• Opportunity12 scored | hit rate 33%
• Shortage5 scored | hit rate 80%
• Other20 category calls scored | hit rate 40%
• Raw materials2 category calls scored | hit rate 50%
• Consumables1 category calls scored | hit rate 0%
• Gems1 category calls scored | hit rate 0%
• Leather1 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Meat1 category calls scored | hit rate 100%

Known Limits

• Data is regional-demand informed and auction-house snapshot based; it is not perfect individual realm/player truth.
• The system cannot identify individual sellers or buyers.
• The system cannot see stack sizes, cancellations, relisting behaviour, expired auctions, or player-submitted reports.
• External in-game event visibility is incomplete, so some market movement may be caused by unknown factors.
• Confidence is reduced when a market has thin history, low sold/day, low auction count, or extreme one-listing price moves.
• Very low-price items below 10c are ignored unless sold/day is high enough to show real bulk demand.