Thunderstrike Alliance

Median 3-day move

Observed short-term repricing across the latest item feature set.

Median price volatility

Higher values mean less certainty and more need to check repeat snapshots.

Confidence posture

Conclusions distinguish observed data, inference, speculation, and scored prior outcomes.

Yesterday

Not enough data for this section yet.

Last 7 Days

Not enough data for this section yet.

Hidden Opportunities

• Golden SpellthreadStrong Buy | profit 28g 21s | confidence Low 36%
• Powerful Earthstorm DiamondStrong Buy | profit 13g 77s | confidence Low 21%
• Ethereum Stasis Chamber KeyStrong Buy | profit 12g 44s | confidence Low 23%
• Relentless Earthstorm DiamondStrong Buy | profit 10g 77s | confidence Low 27%
• Earthstorm DiamondStrong Buy | profit 9g 60s | confidence Low 30%
• Gezzarak's ClawsStrong Buy | profit 9g 51s | confidence Low 36%
• Tome of Conjure FoodStrong Buy | profit 7g 11s | confidence Low 25%
• Karrog's SpineStrong Buy | profit 3g 92s | confidence Low 35%

Supply Shifts

Not enough data for this section yet.

Unusual Activity

• Accurate Slugsprice 3g 30s | move +113913.8% | sold/day 169.4
• Buzzard Bitesprice 45g 57s | move +92350.1% | sold/day 126.4
• Bloodthistleprice 278g 12s | move +15598.3% | sold/day 146.7
• Red Dyeprice 38s 73c | move +12393.5% | sold/day 13.7
• Blackrock Spring Waterprice 9g 99s | move +11085.3% | sold/day 13.0
• Raw Glossy Mightfishprice 14s 93c | move +4876.7% | sold/day 121.5
• Minor Rejuvenation Potionprice 9s 94c | move +4633.3% | sold/day 25.2
• Mild Spicesprice 2s 91c | move +1978.6% | sold/day 59.2

Shortage Watch

• Bloodthistlesupply 0 | sold/day 146.7 | change -
• Lynx Meatsupply 0 | sold/day 137.3 | change -
• Impact Shotsupply 0 | sold/day 98.8 | change -
• Deathweedsupply 0 | sold/day 19.9 | change -
• Shredder Operating Manual - Page 11supply 0 | sold/day 17.8 | change -
• Shredder Operating Manual - Page 6supply 0 | sold/day 15.5 | change -
• Dry Pork Ribssupply 0 | sold/day 14.2 | change -
• Twilight Cultist Mantlesupply 0 | sold/day 13.8 | change -

What The AI Learned

• This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.
• The feedback loop has evaluated 30 previous market calls for this realm/faction; observed hit rate is 43%.
• Large short-term movers are being treated as investigation targets first, not automatic buys, because Phase 2 launch activity can include both real demand and stockpiler unloading.
• Opportunity scoring is most reliable when high profit is supported by sold/day and enough auctions to avoid one-listing bait.
• High-value, high-volume staple markets are tracked even when they are not discounted, because steady sold/day can matter as much as a one-off bargain.
• The model lowers confidence where stack-level behavior, cancellations, relists, or unknown external events could explain the observed move.

Prediction Feedback

30 previous calls scored. Overall observed hit rate: 43%.

• Anomaly16 scored | hit rate 50%
• Opportunity12 scored | hit rate 25%
• Shortage2 scored | hit rate 100%
• Other19 category calls scored | hit rate 21%
• Raw materials4 category calls scored | hit rate 75%
• Consumables2 category calls scored | hit rate 50%
• Meat2 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Crafted items1 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• EnhTemp1 category calls scored | hit rate 100%

Known Limits

• Data is regional-demand informed and auction-house snapshot based; it is not perfect individual realm/player truth.
• The system cannot identify individual sellers or buyers.
• The system cannot see stack sizes, cancellations, relisting behaviour, expired auctions, or player-submitted reports.
• External in-game event visibility is incomplete, so some market movement may be caused by unknown factors.
• Confidence is reduced when a market has thin history, low sold/day, low auction count, or extreme one-listing price moves.
• Very low-price items below 10c are ignored unless sold/day is high enough to show real bulk demand.