AI Market Analysis | NA | Model ai-market-analysis-v1

Dreamscythe Horde

Daily AI-powered market commentary generated from rolling market windows. Latest snapshot 4360 at 2026-05-21T18:08:30+00:00.

This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.

Median 3-day move

-3.0%

Observed short-term repricing across the latest item feature set.

Median price volatility

+414.7%

Higher values mean less certainty and more need to check repeat snapshots.

Confidence posture

Adaptive / transparent

Conclusions distinguish observed data, inference, speculation, and scored prior outcomes.

Yesterday

Not enough data for this section yet.

Last 7 Days

Not enough data for this section yet.

Hidden Opportunities

  • SpellclothStrong Buy | profit 6g 38s | confidence Low 44%
  • Vakkiz's ScaleStrong Buy | profit 5g 82s | confidence Low 36%
  • Tourmaline LoopStrong Buy | profit 5g 57s | confidence Low 47%
  • Akkarai's TalonsStrong Buy | profit 5g 22s | confidence Low 46%
  • Sparkling Star of EluneStrong Buy | profit 3g 93s | confidence Low 46%
  • Amber BandStrong Buy | profit 3g 63s | confidence Medium 52%
  • Azurite RingStrong Buy | profit 11g 14s | confidence Medium 67%
  • Deathwing Brood CloakStrong Buy | profit 13g 63s | confidence Low 49%

High-Value, High-Volume Staples

Items in this lane are valuable and sell fast enough to deserve attention even when they are not currently cheap. This catches dependable markets like Mana Thistle instead of only showing discounts or spikes.

  • Mana Thistleprice 33g 58s | sold/day 1,319.7 | auctions 23 | daily value 44328g 73s
  • Large Prismatic Shardprice 18g 19s | sold/day 2,217.1 | auctions 186 | daily value 40350g 26s
  • Noble Topazprice 52g 52s | sold/day 414.9 | auctions 63 | daily value 21792g 86s
  • Adamantite Oreprice 1g 74s | sold/day 11,653.6 | auctions 228 | daily value 20361g 9s
  • Primal Waterprice 12g 19s | sold/day 1,567.0 | auctions 147 | daily value 19115g 11s
  • Primal Fireprice 16g 16s | sold/day 1,080.0 | auctions 183 | daily value 17463g 49s
  • Flask of Relentless Assaultprice 107g 88s | sold/day 156.0 | auctions 38 | daily value 16826g 16s
  • Living Rubyprice 85g 99s | sold/day 174.4 | auctions 115 | daily value 14995g 69s

Current Predictions

These are explicit forward-looking calls. Each one is stored and scored against a later snapshot, then folded into future confidence.

  • Azurite RingBuy | Opportunity | 3-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 7g 53s | Predicted 10g 80s | Buy zone 7g 15s - 8g 41s | Sell zone 10g 36s - 12g 52sExpected ROI +36.2% | Hold 2.8 days | Sell probability 52%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 67%
  • Azurite RingBuy | Opportunity | 7-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 7g 53s | Predicted 10g 80s | Buy zone 7g 15s - 8g 41s | Sell zone 10g 36s - 12g 52sExpected ROI +36.2% | Hold 2.8 days | Sell probability 52%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 67%
  • Azurite RingBuy | Opportunity | 14-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 7g 53s | Predicted 10g 80s | Buy zone 7g 15s - 8g 41s | Sell zone 10g 36s - 12g 52sExpected ROI +36.2% | Hold 2.8 days | Sell probability 52%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 67%
  • Amber BandBuy | Opportunity | 3-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 4g 62s | Predicted 5g 92s | Buy zone 3g 92s - 4g 61s | Sell zone 5g 68s - 6g 86sExpected ROI +21.7% | Hold 4.3 days | Sell probability 51%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 52%
  • Amber BandBuy | Opportunity | 7-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 4g 62s | Predicted 5g 92s | Buy zone 3g 92s - 4g 61s | Sell zone 5g 68s - 6g 86sExpected ROI +21.7% | Hold 4.3 days | Sell probability 51%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 52%
  • Amber BandBuy | Opportunity | 14-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 4g 62s | Predicted 5g 92s | Buy zone 3g 92s - 4g 61s | Sell zone 5g 68s - 6g 86sExpected ROI +21.7% | Hold 4.3 days | Sell probability 51%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 52%
  • Dragonhawk PantsAvoid | Opportunity | 3-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 4g 11s | Predicted 5g 51s | Buy zone 3g 20s - 3g 77s | Sell zone 5g 29s - 6g 39sExpected ROI +27.3% | Hold 5.6 days | Sell probability 22%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 50%
  • Dragonhawk PantsAvoid | Opportunity | 7-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 4g 11s | Predicted 5g 51s | Buy zone 3g 20s - 3g 77s | Sell zone 5g 29s - 6g 39sExpected ROI +27.3% | Hold 5.6 days | Sell probability 22%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 50%
  • Dragonhawk PantsAvoid | Opportunity | 14-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 4g 11s | Predicted 5g 51s | Buy zone 3g 20s - 3g 77s | Sell zone 5g 29s - 6g 39sExpected ROI +27.3% | Hold 5.6 days | Sell probability 22%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 50%
  • Deathwing Brood CloakAvoid | Opportunity | 3-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 18g 87s | Predicted 25g 1s | Buy zone 14g 54s - 17g 11s | Sell zone 24g 1s - 29g 2sExpected ROI +25.9% | Hold 5.9 days | Sell probability 21%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Low 49%

Supply Shifts

Not enough data for this section yet.

Unusual Activity

  • Razor Arrowprice 9g 55s | move +955400.0% | sold/day 1,178.8
  • Solid Shotprice 9g 55s | move +212231.1% | sold/day 66.9
  • Dust of Decayprice 60s 94c | move +60840.0% | sold/day 11.6
  • Light Shotprice 4s 30c | move +42900.0% | sold/day 26.4
  • Rough Sharpening Stoneprice 80s 0c | move +10566.7% | sold/day 53.0
  • Rough Weightstoneprice 6s 24c | move +3366.7% | sold/day 12.0
  • Mild Spicesprice 9s 48c | move +2462.2% | sold/day 59.2
  • Raw Rainbow Fin Albacoreprice 14s 95c | move +2311.3% | sold/day 96.0

Shortage Watch

  • Ironbite Shellsupply 0 | sold/day 1,178.8 | change -
  • Crafted Heavy Shotsupply 0 | sold/day 864.0 | change -
  • Crafted Solid Shotsupply 0 | sold/day 676.6 | change -
  • Irradiated Crystal Shardsupply 0 | sold/day 216.1 | change -
  • Mageweave Bandagesupply 0 | sold/day 125.7 | change -
  • Heavy Mageweave Bandagesupply 0 | sold/day 57.0 | change -
  • Stewed Troutsupply 0 | sold/day 33.4 | change -
  • Moongraze Stag Tenderloinsupply 0 | sold/day 29.9 | change -

What The AI Learned

  • This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.
  • The feedback loop has evaluated 13 previous market calls for this realm/faction; observed hit rate is 100%.
  • Large short-term movers are being treated as investigation targets first, not automatic buys, because Phase 2 launch activity can include both real demand and stockpiler unloading.
  • Opportunity scoring is most reliable when high profit is supported by sold/day and enough auctions to avoid one-listing bait.
  • High-value, high-volume staple markets are tracked even when they are not discounted, because steady sold/day can matter as much as a one-off bargain.
  • The model lowers confidence where stack-level behavior, cancellations, relists, or unknown external events could explain the observed move.

Prediction Feedback

13 previous calls scored. Overall observed hit rate: 100%.

  • Anomaly13 scored | hit rate 100%
  • Junk7 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
  • Raw materials4 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
  • Crafted items1 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
  • Gems1 category calls scored | hit rate 100%

Known Limits

  • Data is regional-demand informed and auction-house snapshot based; it is not perfect individual realm/player truth.
  • The system cannot identify individual sellers or buyers.
  • The system cannot see stack sizes, cancellations, relisting behaviour, expired auctions, or player-submitted reports.
  • External in-game event visibility is incomplete, so some market movement may be caused by unknown factors.
  • Confidence is reduced when a market has thin history, low sold/day, low auction count, or extreme one-listing price moves.
  • Very low-price items below 10c are ignored unless sold/day is high enough to show real bulk demand.