Dreamscythe Alliance

Median 3-day move

Observed short-term repricing across the latest item feature set.

Median price volatility

Higher values mean less certainty and more need to check repeat snapshots.

Confidence posture

Conclusions distinguish observed data, inference, speculation, and scored prior outcomes.

Yesterday

Not enough data for this section yet.

Last 7 Days

Not enough data for this section yet.

Hidden Opportunities

• Gezzarak's ClawsStrong Buy | profit 6g 13s | confidence High 76%
• ShadowclothStrong Buy | profit 5g 57s | confidence Low 37%
• Thorium Shield SpikeStrong Buy | profit 5g 27s | confidence Low 44%
• Akkarai's TalonsStrong Buy | profit 5g 27s | confidence Low 41%
• Moonsteel BroadswordStrong Buy | profit 5g 8s | confidence Medium 51%
• Solid Star of EluneStrong Buy | profit 3g 15s | confidence Low 46%
• Veiled Flame SpessariteStrong Buy | profit 2g 73s | confidence High 82%
• Azurite RingStrong Buy | profit 4g 30s | confidence Low 43%

Supply Shifts

Not enough data for this section yet.

Unusual Activity

• Impact Shotprice 4g 95s | move +110117.8% | sold/day 98.8
• Shellfishprice 1g 0s | move +19900.0% | sold/day 24.8
• Rockscale Codprice 49s 93c | move +19872.0% | sold/day 11.2
• Spiced Wolf Meatprice 34s 99c | move +8647.5% | sold/day 14.7
• Broken Modulatorprice 2g 69s | move +7771.1% | sold/day 71.6
• Dust of Decayprice 19s 86c | move +6520.0% | sold/day 11.6
• Hot Spicesprice 25s 49c | move +4998.0% | sold/day 50.3
• Soothing Spicesprice 74s 59c | move +4872.7% | sold/day 35.4

Shortage Watch

• Bloodthistlesupply 0 | sold/day 146.7 | change -
• Coarse Dynamitesupply 0 | sold/day 67.9 | change -
• Star's Tearssupply 0 | sold/day 47.9 | change -
• Enchanted Watersupply 0 | sold/day 30.0 | change -
• Exploding Shotsupply 0 | sold/day 27.3 | change -
• Deathweedsupply 0 | sold/day 19.9 | change -
• Tasty Lion Steaksupply 0 | sold/day 15.5 | change -
• Fine Leather Tunicsupply 0 | sold/day 10.5 | change -

What The AI Learned

• This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.
• The feedback loop has evaluated 7 previous market calls for this realm/faction; observed hit rate is 71%.
• Large short-term movers are being treated as investigation targets first, not automatic buys, because Phase 2 launch activity can include both real demand and stockpiler unloading.
• Opportunity scoring is most reliable when high profit is supported by sold/day and enough auctions to avoid one-listing bait.
• High-value, high-volume staple markets are tracked even when they are not discounted, because steady sold/day can matter as much as a one-off bargain.
• The model lowers confidence where stack-level behavior, cancellations, relists, or unknown external events could explain the observed move.

Prediction Feedback

7 previous calls scored. Overall observed hit rate: 71%.

• Anomaly7 scored | hit rate 71%
• Crafted items2 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Junk2 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Consumables1 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Enchanting materials1 category calls scored | hit rate 0%
• Raw materials1 category calls scored | hit rate 0%

Known Limits

• Data is regional-demand informed and auction-house snapshot based; it is not perfect individual realm/player truth.
• The system cannot identify individual sellers or buyers.
• The system cannot see stack sizes, cancellations, relisting behaviour, expired auctions, or player-submitted reports.
• External in-game event visibility is incomplete, so some market movement may be caused by unknown factors.
• Confidence is reduced when a market has thin history, low sold/day, low auction count, or extreme one-listing price moves.
• Very low-price items below 10c are ignored unless sold/day is high enough to show real bulk demand.